Final Predictions?
Here's mine:
California: Obama 47.1, Hillary 45.4
Nationally: Hillary 13 states, Obama 9 states
Total votes cast: Hillary +610,000
Media storyline: David (aka Obama) fights to an impressive near-draw with Goliath (Hillary). She wins this round, but he has the momentum and the favorable schedule. The race goes on!
What's yours? The commenter that comes closest to nailing the final tallies gets a Nuts & Boalts tote bag. (Armen is embroidering one as we speak.)
California: Obama 47.1, Hillary 45.4
Nationally: Hillary 13 states, Obama 9 states
Total votes cast: Hillary +610,000
Media storyline: David (aka Obama) fights to an impressive near-draw with Goliath (Hillary). She wins this round, but he has the momentum and the favorable schedule. The race goes on!
What's yours? The commenter that comes closest to nailing the final tallies gets a Nuts & Boalts tote bag. (Armen is embroidering one as we speak.)
Labels: Elections
posted by Earl Warren at 11:44 PM
5 Comments:
CA: Hil +2 (too little, too late)
Ntionally: Hil 14, Obama 8
Storyline: "A win is a win, and Senator Clinton took more states, more votes, and more delegates tonight."
Man oh man, it's the early voting here in CA that gives me heartburn.
I worry HRC takes California by a hair.. and then has a better "momentum claim" than Obama.
EW, what are your thoughts about the absentee factor? I've heard that 1/3 to 1/2 of votes are already in - aren't they likely to be pro-HRC? How does this affect things?
Asked and answered my man. But it's buried and I promise to stop writing long-winded 1600-word posts after today.
Hey, I like your 1600 word posts.
I'm just not knowledgeable enough to play along.
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