Barack the Vote
If I'm any indication, then the legal/political junkies around the Boalt community will be very restless in the next 24-48 hours. So, here's an open thread to vent your thoughts, frustrations, and share any links/videos you find worthwhile. (You may also wish fond farewells to DE, the future White House counsel if Obama wins).
If you are the fantasy sports/tournament pick 'em type of person (edit: or a Supreme Court Justice, as the case may be), you can check out Yahoo's map. Click on "Create Your Scenario." Once you have created a scenario you like, click on "Link to This" and create a link that cannot be changed. You may then post your projected map in the comments for "bonus points." For "bonus bonus points" you can project the total national votes per candidate. My prediction is here. And I'm thinking 68,500,000 Obama to 62,000,000 McCain.
Otherwise, I'll be following Steve Benen and Josh Marshall's blogs fairly regularly. The floor is yours.
UPDATE 1: This video is informative in that stating the obvious sort of way. But interestingly, the guest on the show is my next door neighbor from Manville 1L year and a Berkeley Public Policy School alumnus. Way to go Room 321!!
UPDATE 2: A commenter below notes fivethirtyeight.com. I think this is a great website and a great resource for those who care about accurate sampling. Nate's post on exit polls is spot on.
If you are the fantasy sports/tournament pick 'em type of person (edit: or a Supreme Court Justice, as the case may be), you can check out Yahoo's map. Click on "Create Your Scenario." Once you have created a scenario you like, click on "Link to This" and create a link that cannot be changed. You may then post your projected map in the comments for "bonus points." For "bonus bonus points" you can project the total national votes per candidate. My prediction is here. And I'm thinking 68,500,000 Obama to 62,000,000 McCain.
Otherwise, I'll be following Steve Benen and Josh Marshall's blogs fairly regularly. The floor is yours.
UPDATE 1: This video is informative in that stating the obvious sort of way. But interestingly, the guest on the show is my next door neighbor from Manville 1L year and a Berkeley Public Policy School alumnus. Way to go Room 321!!
UPDATE 2: A commenter below notes fivethirtyeight.com. I think this is a great website and a great resource for those who care about accurate sampling. Nate's post on exit polls is spot on.
Labels: Rabid Conservatives, Rabid Liberals
posted by Armen Adzhemyan at 12:39 PM
9 Comments:
Wisdom from Patrick: If you're certain that Obama is going to win, then you're a Republican. If you're nervous, worried, anxious, and near-panicked (and possibly sleep-deprived), then you're a Democrat (or a Cubs fan).
Anyway, I tried to get cute, but I just ended up with the standard 375-163 result that everyone seems to be getting: Here.
fwiw, I also think the Dems will get to 59 seats in the Senate (Al Franken will squeak out a win over Norm Coleman in Minnesota, and Georgia will come down to a run-off), and will pick up 32 seats in the House.
Get ready.
Obama's economic policy?
Is that the official position of the Boalt Hall Shooting Club?
I'll be cooperative.
And if you're not reading Nate over at www.fivethirtyeight.com, Armen, you're missing out.
I think fivethirtyeight.com is one of the best resources out there. So, I'll add a link to it later. Rumor has it the founder used to do baseball stats.
This comment has been removed by the author.
I never posted my prediction. Probably not all that exciting though.
And 56 seats in the Senate. (Which means 58 if you're counting Democrats that don't label themselves as such.) Dole-Hagen will be closer than anyone thinks.
God help us if Michele Bachmann doesn't lose to El Tinklenberg in Minnesota's Sixth. Literally.
for the most scientific indicator yet: McCain's Bad Omen
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